Sunday, March 14, 2010

Jon Griffith, Certified Short Sale Negotiator

Foreclosure Prevention Specialist and Certified Distressed Property Expert

Archive for the ‘Selling a Home’ Category

On The Market: 9242 N. 34th Place, Phoenix

Posted by Jon Griffith On November - 21 - 2008

We have a new listing on the market near the Phoenix Mountain Preserve in Phoenix Arizona.  Sherry Engle, of engle design, inc. envisioned what she calls an “Urban Hacienda” and has succeeded in creating exactly that.

Stop by ThirtyFourthPlace.com today for more information.

The Five Stages of Real Estate Grief

Posted by Jon Griffith On September - 11 - 2008

There are three factors that determine the sale of a home.

  • Location
  • Condition
  • Price

What good news!  Why?  You have nearly complete control over 66% of what sells a home.  Granted, you cannot change the condition of the surrounding properties or the type of construction of your property.  I mean, you could raze your house and rebuild a completely different style home, provided your HOA didn’t prevent it, but then you’d be throwing good money after bad as you created a home that didn’t fit the surroundings.  The condition of the surrounding homes has mostly to do with location anyway, so you really do have control over most of the consumer response to your home.

There are five stages of grief that, if you are not in touch with reality, you will traverse throughout your experience selling a house.  Why is this?  Well, selling a home isn’t like selling off your possessions at a garage sale.  Garage sales are usually designed to eliminate junk.  Your home is a very personal space, and you’ve grown very attached to it, most likely.

My job is to provide you with the right information to help you make an informed decision about how you should price your home, and what you can do to improve its chances of selling.

In todays market, of the determining factors that you can control, price carries the most weight, and many sellers have fallen victim to “rear view mirror” thinking.  Newsflash!  The gig is up.  We have to price our homes in line with what buyers are willing to pay.  Remember that the value of a home is determined upon close of escrow.  Asking more than it will sell for does not declare the new value on the block.  The actual sale price of a neighboring like property combined with an appraisal is what is going to help you price your home properly.

Stage 1: Denial. Nobody is exempt from feeling this if their expectations are out of line.  Not even real estate agents these days are pricing their properties realistically.  If you enter the transaction with a realistic outlook on what your home can actually get in the marketplace, you’ll be able to avoid the denial that accompanies the let down after your property has chased the market.

Stage 2: Anger. Obviously if you’ve felt the loss of thousands of dollars (albeit on paper only, which makes the situation even crazier because you never had the money in the first place) then you’re going to experience all five phases.  To what degree is determined by how quickly you can bounce back from fantasy land.  You will be angry about waiting too long to sell.  You’ll be angry when you realize that your Realtor was right when he/she recommended a much lower price bracket than you insisted upon.  Get over it.  It’s time to sell your home.  Make the adjustments now and minimize your losses (remember, that didn’t even exist in the first place.)  And, if you are actually experiencing more than just losses on paper, that’s all the more reason why you should price your home right, the first time.

Stage 3:  Bargaining. Through your anger you’ll find yourself justifying why things are the way they are.  You’ll begin to think things like, “If only I had.”  “Maybe if we try this we can still salvage our…”  Nope.  You’re where you are now, just get it sold.  Listen to your Realtor.  He or she does this every day and sees people go through this process all the time.  Trust us, we are here to help you move on with your lives.

Stage 4:  Depression. This is where you’ll want to give up.  Perhaps you might even consider taking your home off the market because you’ll find no point in selling.  Most people can’t afford to hold two or more properties.  Lots of people can’t even afford one property these days, especially after getting into the financial trouble that lenders allowed.  You may even want to let your Realtor off the hook and find someone else to sell the home.  Trust the Realtor you have.  If he’s done his homework and is working hard for you, stick with it.  We dread working our tails off to be a victim of the fourth stage of grief, which usually ends in you finding another Realtor who advises you to drop your price only to sell where your first Realtor had already suggested you price your home.

Stage 5:  Acceptance. If you’re a healthy person, you’ll probably make it here quickly.  In fact, if you’re a healthy person, you will probably avoid this entire process of grief through the idea of losing your yet unrealized equity gains in your home.

I can’t stress enough how important it is to price your home to sell.  If you’re serious about selling your house, think about the cost in your lives of the process of selling.  You may own two homes, you may have added utility bills through the process…you name it.  The cost of pricing your home too high can last far longer than it’s worth.  Your time is important.  If you’re not actually serious about selling your house, then you probably shouldn’t list it at all.

Are you happy with your real estate situation?  If not, please give me a call and I’ll help you move from point A to point B in as few steps as possible so you can go about the business of living and enjoying your life.

Another Sold Property: 1028 W. Tremaine

Posted by Jon Griffith On August - 1 - 2008

Success is a byproduct of helping others.  Today, the sale of 1028 W. Tremaine closed as expected.  This listing hit the market on June 2nd, received its first offer in 17 days and found its way into escrow within 22 days.  The new homeowners are very pleased with their purchase and I am ecstatic to have a satisfied seller.

The property was listed at $239,000 and closed today at $225,000, which is 94.1% of what we were asking.  Not bad considering the market conditions.  Gilbert has seen quite a bit of action in the past months, especially in Cayman Square, but just like any other market, price is driving the sale of the homes.

Over the past 6 months, in Cayman Square, single family detached homes with the same square footage as 1028 W. Tremaine have consistently sold at an average of $136.00ft/sq.  In February, we saw 1103 W. Heather sell at a full price offer of $230,000.00 after only 14 days on market.  2 Months later, yet another identical unit sold at $213,500 or 92.9% of the original $229,900 asking price.  On the 1st of May we saw 605 N. Ocotillo go for $10.00 more than the list price at $215,000.  Although listed shortly after our property, 621 N. Ocotillo closed on the 28th of July at a full asking price of $225,000.

There are currently two active listings that have not seen any action, which is unlike the rest, which closed in an average of 17 days.  These are 1102 W. Laurel which has been on the market for 83 days, first listed at $229,000 on May 11th with a recent 5.2% price drop to $217,000 on July 17th, and 616 N. Ocotillo, first listed on July 1st at $239,900.00 which is well above the average sale price in the area.  It will not sell for $239,900.00.

All of these properties are within a stone’s throw to 1028 W. Tremaine, and all of the ones that have sold have one thing in common.  The price was right.

The evidence is before you and will help you determine what your home should be priced at should you be ready to sell.  Now is a fantastic time to buy if you’re planning on expanding or moving up.  Take a look at the following image to see the current Statistical Summary that I have put together.

All of this information has been provided free of charge as a courtesy to you and your neighbors in Cayman Square.  If you are currently considering selling your home, I would love the opportunity to help you.  Call me today!  (602)  312-3262.

Do You Want to Sell Your Home or Not?

Posted by Jon Griffith On June - 24 - 2008

Let a REALTOR help you price your home right...As though we haven’t heard this plea enough, it’s time for sellers to let go of unrealistic expectations. There are too many people who are testing the market and aren’t serious about selling their homes and many of them forget that they aren’t the only one taking the hit. When we list your home, our job is to market the home.  We will put it on the market for SALE, not for tour, not for show…for SALE. Right now, more than ever, price is driving the sale of the home.

Supply and DemandSupply and Demand Basic Curve

My goal as your Realtor is to analyze the market in your area and help you determine what the most realistic asking price for your home should be.  It’s up to you to set the price.  It’s up to me to point you in the right direction.

Supply and demand are the two opposing forces that are intertwined in the process of determining the right price.  Typically, when you increase the supply, provided that it is not a response to increased demand, the price of the item falls.  There’s more of it, so the consumers have more choices, and they can afford to shop for a lower price.  If you decrease the supply, as long as it’s not in response to changing demand, the prices tend to go up because there are more buyers than there are items for sale.  (To read my quick article describing supply and demand, please click here)

Is it possible to artificially affect pricing without affecting the supply?  Yes, but it requires artificially altering consumer demand by offering incentives or specials, or conveying a sense of urgency for the buyer.

Is it possible to artificially affect demand by changing the price?  Yes.  How?  Lower the price.  If you offered a gallon of gas at 50% of the surrounding competition’s prices, you’d artificially increase demand for gas in that area.  The problem with this is that the gas station won’t make any money, so lowering the price too much is not in their best interest.

Is it possible to increase the value of a product by artificially inflating the price?  In other words, if I want to sell my peanut butter for $1.00 more than all of the competition, will that increase demand for my product?  Will it increase demand for the product that’s $1.00 cheaper?  No, and no.  Increasing the price of a product that is competing against less expensive products is not going to increase demand for higher prices.

It is our job to get the highest price that we can for your home.  We cannot do this by pricing your home higher than the competition, no matter what the condition of the home.  Even if the home has upgrades, the price you set may be too high for the area to bear.

In order to sell a product to a consumer, the price must be right.  Your neighborhood is like a grocery store filled with products.  Those products are homes.  When you shop in the grocery store, you look for the best products at the lowest price.  Sometimes you pay more for a better product because it has 10% more!!!  Sometimes you pay more because of the brand name.  Sometimes you settle for bargain basement prices because name brand aspirin is the same as the local grocery store aspirin, and you just don’t care.  But, if you find a product that is clearly over priced, it is guaranteed that you’ll pass it by with only a glance.

Manufacturers spend millions of dollars every year to market these products to you.  Realtors also spend their money on your home to make sure that it is marketed as effectively as possible.  If you, the seller, set a price that is too high, you may generate interest in the product simply because it’s on the same block as more realistically priced homes, but nobody will buy it, especially when three other identical products down the street sold at a price far lower than yours.

“But our house is upgraded.”

There is a very clear difference between a home that is upgraded and a home that simply has new features that are already expected.  Is it really upgraded, or is it just more sellable?  Just because a fixture is new, or tile has been laid doesn’t mean that you have a home with upgrades.  What it does mean is that you have a clean home.  What makes those items upgrades?  The quality of the items.  New linoleum is still linoleum.  It doesn’t increase the value of your home nor will it command a dollar for dollar investment recovery at sale.  A pool is a great feature to have, but what type of pool is it?  Is it a pool that most people expect, with a diving board and/or decorative rocks surrounding the perimeter, or is it an enlarged spa?  In Arizona, in the 200-300K price range, a pool adds about $5,000 in value.  Sometimes more, sometimes less.  This really depends on how many homes in your sub-division have pools.  In some countries, as you can see in the illustration, pools are in very high demand.

Paint is not an upgrade.  An air conditioner just like the neighbor’s is not an upgrade, even if it was installed yesterday.  Sure, it’s new, and that may influence whether or not someone will consider your property, but it will not support a higher price.  It is a deferred maintenance item.  An air conditioner twice the size of the surrounding neighborhood could be considered an upgrade, unless you’ve upgraded yourself out of the market.

Basically, anything that is expected to be in a standard single family home in the 200K – 300K range will only add to the sellability of the home, not the value.

Be careful when you spend money on your home, because some items don’t fit.  A 6-Burner Viking Gas Stove in a 300K Home with Corian counter tops and laminate floors won’t increase the value of your home.  It will make it sell faster, true, but you won’t recover your costs.  Nobody expects there to be that high of an upgraded item in your home.  Consider upgrades to be vast improvements over not just the condition of the previous item, but also the quality.  The items you perceive to be upgrades may only be what you believe to be upgrades and the rest of the world may expect more.

The Bottom Line

Your house has an inherent value to someone.  Until the home closes escrow, your home’s value is basically unknown.  What you do know is:

  • How much others have paid for similar homes, recently.
  • How much you paid for your home.
  • How much money you put into your home.
  • How much you still owe.

The average return on Real Property is around 4% annually.  2005 really screwed up homeowner’s perception of value in housing.  If you purchased your home in 2003 for $150,000.00, and you apply the average rate of return, a realistic price for your home in 2008 would be about $185,000.00 give or take.  That’s $7,000 per year in value, and it’s realistic.  If your neighborhood comparables show that properties just like yours are selling in the $220,000 range, then your return is HUGE and you need to realize that it’s completely abnormal.  Many homeowners screwed up by tapping into that artificially bloated equity to upgrade their homes or buy other properties or a boat or other luxury item.  Now, they think they can recover it, and they can’t.

Let’s just hope that Sellers will become more realistic about looking at how much value they have gained already and consider it a blessing, and to not be greedy.  If you are thinking about selling your property, and you thought it was worth more than it actually is, think again about your reasons for selling.  If you must sell, get realistic about the price and sell.  The offers are there and there are plenty of hungry buyers.  If you don’t have to sell, hold the property or rent it out and take a small monthly hit for a while.  You’ll benefit from it in the long run.

If you have no idea whether or not you’re in the right position to sell your home, give me a call at (602) 312-3262 and I’ll be happy to work up a Market Analysis of your home so you can make the right decision.  When you’re ready to list your property, know that I will take care of you through the entire process and in the most cutting edge ways.

I hope to hear from you.

What is a short sale?

Posted by Jon Griffith On May - 21 - 2008

What?

The concept is rather simple. When you sell something for less than the amount that is owed, you are selling it short of the full amount.

Why?

Lenders became opportunists during the past few years and decided that they would irresponsibly lend the full value of homes to nearly anyone without proof of income. In some cases, lenders were giving homeowners more than 100% of the value of their home. They were giving away money without explaining to buyers that the reason their payments were so affordable was because the loans they were issuing were interest only adjustable rate loans; a perfect solution for a short term investment, but horrible for long-term homeownership.

How?

John Doe in 2006 finds a home that he wants to buy. At his income level, he can afford to spend $2000.00 every month on a mortgage. The home that he wants to purchase, if financed conventionally on a 30-Year fixed interest mortgage would put him over his monthly mortgage payment budget. He could solve that problem by including a down payment to reduce the loan amount, but he doesn’t have any money in the bank. The lender, knowing they would make their money on closing costs and doc fees, decides to offer creative financing to John Doe so he can afford the home. They write an interest only, adjustable rate mortgage with a pre-payment penalty and more than likely a 5 year expiration period on the adjustment for the full amount of the home. The adjustable rate mortgage ensured that after 5 years, sometimes 3 years, the loan would come due to adjust up, which would bloat his payment way above what he would have been able to afford in the first place.

At this point, John Doe has zero equity in his home and a payment he can’t afford. With the declining market values, his situation is worsened by the fact that he won’t be able to sell the home for as much as he bought it. He owes more than the home is worth. Why is this a problem? Well, normally the homeowner could simply stay put in their home, make their monthly payment, and ride the market until the natural average increase in value caught up to them. The real problem is that John Doe couldn’t afford the home in the first place, and he’s out of cash. He has to sell.

In comes the Short Sale.

Since John Doe is in a position where he MUST sell, he would rather do that than file bankruptcy and walk on the property, so he appeals to the bank for approval to sell the home for less than what he owes. He must prove that he has a legitimate hardship before the bank will actually allow his chosen brokerage to sell the home. He can list the home for sale, but when it comes to actually selling the home, accepting an offer, he must obtain bank approval, and that may take up to 90 days, depending on who the lender is and how well they process Short Sales.

If the home that John Doe is living in doesn’t receive an offer quickly enough, the property may enter into foreclosure and the bank might have to give him the boot. When this happens, the bank puts the property on the auction block. If the property doesn’t sell at auction, the bank owns it.

As a result, the buyer believes that he/she is entitled to pay less than listing price on just about any property out there, whether short sale or not.

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